BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System | FAQ | The Numbers | Last Updated: 02:00 on Sunday, November 17, 2024

San Diego State 2024 Season Summary

Team Logo

National Average Data

Category 2023 Raw 2024 Raw 2024 Blended (Δ)
Points Per Game (PPG) 26.70 26.67 26.67 (+0.00)
Yards Per Game (YPG) 379.93 377.37 377.37 (+0.00)
Yards Per Play (YPP) 5.70 5.72 5.72 (+0.00)

San Diego State 2024 - Unit Statistics

Offense

Category 2023 Raw 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ) 2024 Raw 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ) 2024 Blended (Δ)
Points Scored per Game (PPG): 19.09 20.72 (+1.63) 19.00 14.16 (-4.84) 14.16 (+0.00)
Yards Gained per Game (YPG): 316.27 314.19 (-2.08) 307.00 265.47 (-41.53) 265.47 (+0.00)
Yards Gained per Play (YPP): 4.96 4.77 (-0.19) 4.73 4.10 (-0.63) 4.10 (+0.00)

Defense

Category 2023 Raw 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ) 2024 Raw 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ) 2024 Blended (Δ)
Points Yielded per Game (PPG): 26.64 26.85 (+0.21) 29.89 28.34 (-1.55) 28.34 (+0.00)
Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): 407.00 422.89 (+15.89) 441.56 424.52 (-17.03) 424.52 (+0.00)
Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): 6.42 6.76 (+0.34) 6.06 5.91 (-0.16) 5.91 (+0.00)

Intangibles

Category Measure(s)
Home Field Advantage +2.1

Schedule Analysis

Date Opponent BizMa Points For BizMa Points Against BizMa Spread BizMa O/U BizMa Win % Real Outcome Team Record
2024-09-01 East Texas A&M Non-FBS Opponent W 45-14 1-0
2024-09-08 Oregon State 21.15 22.07 +0.92 43.22 48.53% L 0-21 1-1
2024-09-15 @California 10.49 31.31 +20.82 41.79 16.61% L 10-31 1-2
2024-09-28 @Central Michigan 21.85 20.26 -1.60 42.11 52.57% L 21-22 1-3
2024-10-06 Hawai'i 16.92 16.19 -0.73 33.11 51.18% W 27-24 2-3
2024-10-12 @Wyoming 18.46 21.49 +3.03 39.95 45.14% W 27-24 3-3
2024-10-27 Washington State 16.35 34.70 +18.35 51.04 20.57% L 26-29 3-4
2024-11-02 @Boise State 12.79 46.58 +33.80 59.37 0.10% L 24-56 3-5
2024-11-09 New Mexico 29.05 33.76 +4.71 62.82 42.44% L 16-21 3-6
2024-11-17 @UNLV 13.29 39.08 +25.78 52.37 8.65% L 20-41 3-7
2024-11-23 @Utah State 25.51 32.42 +6.92 57.93 38.91% n/a n/a
2024-11-30 Air Force 14.81 15.56 +0.75 30.37 48.79% n/a n/a

Season Analysis

Record Probability Ceiling Floor
3-9 31.43% 0.00% 100.00%
4-8 49.66% 31.43% 68.57%
5-7 18.91% 81.09% 18.91%

Expected Wins Analysis

Record Probability
0-12 0.00%
1-11 0.71%
2-10 4.89%
3-9 14.38%
4-8 24.60%
5-7 26.18%
6-6 18.05%
7-5 8.38%
8-4 2.33%
9-3 0.43%
10-2 0.05%
11-1 0.00%