BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System |
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The Numbers |
Last Updated: 02:00 on Sunday, October 13, 2024
San Diego State 2024 Season Summary
National Average Data
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
| Points Per Game (PPG) |
26.70 |
26.64 |
26.66 (+0.02) |
| Yards Per Game (YPG) |
379.93 |
374.92 |
376.36 (+1.44) |
| Yards Per Play (YPP) |
5.70 |
5.77 |
5.75 (-0.02) |
San Diego State 2024 - Unit Statistics
Offense
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Scored per Game (PPG): |
19.09 |
20.72 (+1.63) |
17.00 |
11.26 (-5.74) |
14.81 (+3.55) |
| Yards Gained per Game (YPG): |
316.27 |
314.19 (-2.08) |
296.40 |
252.49 (-43.91) |
275.63 (+23.14) |
| Yards Gained per Play (YPP): |
4.96 |
4.77 (-0.19) |
4.73 |
3.84 (-0.89) |
4.19 (+0.35) |
Defense
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Yielded per Game (PPG): |
26.64 |
26.85 (+0.21) |
24.40 |
30.49 (+6.09) |
29.12 (-1.37) |
| Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): |
407.00 |
422.89 (+15.89) |
413.60 |
453.19 (+39.59) |
441.83 (-11.36) |
| Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): |
6.42 |
6.76 (+0.34) |
5.51 |
6.12 (+0.61) |
6.36 (+0.24) |
Intangibles
| Category
| Measure(s)
|
| Home Field Advantage
| +2.1 |
Schedule Analysis
| Date
| Opponent
| BizMa Points For
| BizMa Points Against
| BizMa Spread
| BizMa O/U
| BizMa Win %
| Real Outcome
| Team Record
|
| 2024-09-01 |
Texas A&M-Commerce |
Non-FBS Opponent |
W 45-14 |
1-0 |
| 2024-09-08 |
Oregon State |
16.84 |
33.99 |
+17.15 |
50.82 |
22.49% |
L 0-21 |
1-1 |
| 2024-09-15 |
@California |
10.04 |
35.45 |
+25.41 |
45.49 |
9.24% |
L 10-31 |
1-2 |
| 2024-09-28 |
@Central Michigan |
22.77 |
20.23 |
-2.54 |
43.00 |
54.08% |
L 21-22 |
1-3 |
| 2024-10-06 |
Hawai'i |
19.34 |
18.28 |
-1.06 |
37.62 |
51.71% |
W 27-24 |
2-3 |
| 2024-10-12 |
@Wyoming |
17.90 |
26.50 |
+8.60 |
44.39 |
36.21% |
W 27-24 |
3-3 |
| 2024-10-27 |
Washington State |
13.44 |
39.51 |
+26.07 |
52.95 |
8.18% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-02 |
@Boise State |
13.52 |
45.02 |
+31.50 |
58.55 |
0.10% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-09 |
New Mexico |
34.45 |
35.63 |
+1.18 |
70.08 |
48.11% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-17 |
@UNLV |
15.34 |
44.05 |
+28.71 |
59.38 |
3.96% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-23 |
@Utah State |
28.22 |
33.44 |
+5.23 |
61.66 |
41.62% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-30 |
Air Force |
16.74 |
12.72 |
-4.02 |
29.46 |
56.44% |
n/a |
n/a |
Season Analysis
| Record
| Probability
| Ceiling
| Floor
|
| 3-9 |
11.64% |
0.00% |
100.00% |
| 4-8 |
35.65% |
11.64% |
88.36% |
| 5-7 |
36.91% |
47.29% |
52.71% |
| 6-6 |
14.41% |
84.20% |
15.80% |
| 7-5 |
1.36% |
98.61% |
1.39% |
| 8-4 |
0.04% |
99.97% |
0.03% |
Expected Wins Analysis
| Record
| Probability
|
| 1-11 |
1.15% |
| 2-10 |
7.34% |
| 3-9 |
19.21% |
| 4-8 |
28.30% |
| 5-7 |
24.73% |
| 6-6 |
13.85% |
| 7-5 |
4.54% |
| 8-4 |
0.78% |
| 9-3 |
0.09% |
| 10-2 |
0.00% |